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Introduction to Prediction Markets

When you gather a suitably diverse group of people together, ask them a question and average their answers, the result tends to be more accurate than the result of any one person including experts. The implication of this, is that the crowd as a whole can make better informed judgements than traditional experts. There just needs to be an ideal way to extract those tiny bits of relative information from individuals in a consistent manner. Enter the prediction market.

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Hacking Sleep

After a month of experimenting with Polyphasic sleep, there was much learnt about the process, what to expect, possible gains and drawbacks.

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Pie charts and other circular visualizations

Pie charts were first created by Scottish polyglot William Playfair in his 01801 publication of “Commercial and Political Atlas and Statistical Breviary”. We’ve come along way in understanding visual complexity, but still the inefficient pie chart continues to be used.

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The Long Now

The Y2K problem was pop-culture’s initiation into short-term thinking on a global scale. The issue revolved around the 2-digit year, 19__ on checkbooks and in computer databases. When the year 2000 arrived, it broke a lot of code that filled in the __ with 00 making it 1900 instead of 2000. The long now foundation challenges us to think in the longer term, not in years, not in millennium, but in 10s of millennia.

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Skólapúlsinn: Educational Assessment

How could a father, a student and a foreigner change the way an entire country looks at educational surveys and improve the quality life for thousands of students? Skólapúlsinn was built to create a very easy environment for schools to conduct continuous random sampling over 21 psychometric scales to evaluation their performance nationally. The results in the first 9 months of operation have been staggering as well as eye opening to us and the schools.

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